Bayern, Paris St Germain, Atletico Madrid, and Arsenal are the final four left in the UCL this season. Bayern face PSG and Arsenal need to beat Atletico Madrid if they are to make it to their first UCL final since 2006. Betting on the Champions League becomes significantly harder when it gets to the later stages, because there are less games, and the games at this level are always more tactical.
Here are our betting tips for the first leg of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League semi-finals ties.
Paris Saint Germain – Bayern Munich
Bayern visit Paris for the first leg of their tie against the defending champions PSG. Vincent Kompany and Luis Enrique’s men have already faced each other this season with Bayern Munich winning 1-2 away in Paris despite being a man down for entirety of the second half.
In the FIFA Club World Cup though, Bayern lost to PSG, 2-0, so it will be a little tricky to predict who the winner will be in Paris on Tuesday.
Key Stat
PSG and Bayern have played each other 15 times in the UCL, including the 2019/20 final. Bayern have beaten the Parisians 9 times and PSG have won 6 times, there has never been a draw in this fixture in the Champions League.
Betting Tips
Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score are good options for this game given how free-scoring Bayern and PSG are. Over 2.5 and BTTS are at at 1.40 and 1.38 respectively on STAKE.
Atletico Madrid – Arsenal
Like the other semi-final tie, Atletico Madrid have also faced Arsenal this season. The Gunners thrashed Simeone’s men 4-0 at the Emirates, but it’s totally different scenario now. Arsenal will face a more confident Atleti side after they Eliminated Barcelona, one of the tournament favourites.
Key Stat
Atletico and Arsenal have played 3 times in official UEFA matches (2 in Europa League), and there has been 1 victory for each side and a draw.
Betting Tips
An Under 3 pick for tie would be appropriate given how cagey Arsenal can be away from home. Under 3.5 on STAKE is at 1.33
